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A variable may be considered a mediator to the extent to which it carries the influence of a given independent variable (IV) to a given dependent variable (DV). Generally speaking, mediation can be said to occur when (1) the IV significantly affects the mediator, (2) the IV significantly affects the DV in the absence of the mediator, (3) the mediator has a significant unique effect on the DV, and (4) the effect of the IV on the DV shrinks upon the addition of the mediator to the model. More formally, the Sobel-Goodman tests are statistically based methods by which mediation may be assessed.
Example
This example uses the hsb2 dataset with write as the dv, ses as the iv and read as the mediator variable. That is, the model says that ses influences read, which in turn influences write. This model may not make much substantive sense but it will allow us to to demonstrate the process of running a Sobel-Goodman test. We will do this using the sgmediation command, you can download this command using findit sgmediation (see How can I use the findit command to search for programs and get additional help? for more information about using findit).
use http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/notes/hsb2, clear
sgmediation write, mv(read) iv(ses)
Model with dv regressed on iv
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 200
-------------+------------------------------ F( 1, 198) = 8.91
Model | 769.750233 1 769.750233 Prob > F = 0.0032
Residual | 17109.1248 198 86.409721 R-squared = 0.0431
-------------+------------------------------ Adj R-squared = 0.0382
Total | 17878.875 199 89.843593 Root MSE = 9.2957
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
write | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
ses | 2.715408 .9097906 2.98 0.003 .9212848 4.509531
_cons | 47.19484 1.981799 23.81 0.000 43.2867 51.10298
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Model with mediator regressed on iv
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 200
-------------+------------------------------ F( 1, 198) = 18.64
Model | 1799.85862 1 1799.85862 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual | 19119.5614 198 96.5634413 R-squared = 0.0860
-------------+------------------------------ Adj R-squared = 0.0814
Total | 20919.42 199 105.122714 Root MSE = 9.8267
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
read | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
ses | 4.15221 .9617596 4.32 0.000 2.255604 6.048817
_cons | 43.69721 2.095003 20.86 0.000 39.56583 47.82859
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Model with dv regressed on mediator and iv
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 200
-------------+------------------------------ F( 2, 197) = 54.76
Model | 6388.01507 2 3194.00754 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual | 11490.8599 197 58.3292382 R-squared = 0.3573
-------------+------------------------------ Adj R-squared = 0.3508
Total | 17878.875 199 89.843593 Root MSE = 7.6374
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
write | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
read | .5420784 .0552337 9.81 0.000 .4331532 .6510037
ses | .4645841 .7818783 0.59 0.553 -1.077342 2.00651
_cons | 23.50752 2.911437 8.07 0.000 17.76594 29.24911
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sobel-Goodman Mediation Tests
test statistic 2-tail p-value
Sobel 3.952 .00007755
Goodman-1 3.935 .00008328
Goodman-2 3.969 .00007213
Pecent of total effect that is mediated: 82.89 %
Ratio of indirect to direct effect: 4.8448
In this example the mediation effect of read was highly significant with
approximately 83% of the total effect (of ses on write) being mediated.
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