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1.6.5 Example: Tropical cyclones Table 1.2 on page 13.
data table1_2; input years $1-7 season number; datalines; 1956/7 1 6 1957/8 2 5 1958/9 3 4 1959/60 4 6 1960/1 5 6 1961/2 6 3 1962/3 7 12 1963/4 8 7 1964/5 9 4 1965/6 10 2 1966/7 11 6 1967/8 12 7 1968/9 13 4 ; run;
Figure 1.1 on page 14.
%let start = 3;
%let end = 8;
proc iml;
use table1_2;
read all var {number} into y ;
n = nrow(y) ;
c = j(&end-&start+1, 2, 0);
do i = 1 to &end - &start + 1;
c[i, 1]= sum(y)*log(i+&start - 1) - n*(i+&start - 1);
c[i, 2] = i+&start - 1;
end;
create fig1_1 from c[colname={'lstar' 'theta'}];
append from c;
quit;
symbol i = spline v=none;
axis1 order = (35 to 55 by 5) minor = none label=none;
proc gplot data = fig1_1;
plot lstar*theta /vaxis = axis1 hminor=0;
run;
quit;
Table 1.3 on page 15. We use proc iml to implement the bisection calculation.
%let criterion = .00001;
%let left = 5;
%let right = 6;
%let itnum = 20;
proc iml;
use table1_2;
read all var {number} into y ; /*read the number of count into a matrix*/
n = nrow(y) ; /*number of rows*/
c = j(&itnum, 3, 0); /*create a matrix containing informatin for Table 1.3*/
left = &left;
right = &right;
c[1,1] = 1;
c[1, 2] = left;
c[1, 3]= sum(y)*log(left) - n*left;
c[2,1] = 2;
c[2, 2] = right;
c[2, 3]= sum(y)*log(right) - n*right;
lb = c[1,3];
ub = c[2,3];
diff = ub - lb;
do i = 1 to &itnum while(abs(diff)>&criterion);
mid = (left + right)/2;
lstar = sum(y)*log(mid) - n*mid;
c[i+2, 1] = i+2;
c[i+2, 2] = mid;
c[i+2, 3] = lstar;
if ub > mid & mid > lb then do;
lb = lstar;
left = mid;
end;
else if lb > mid & mid > ub then do ;
right = mid;
ub = lstar;
end;
else if lb < ub then do;
left = mid;
lb = lstar;
end;
else do;
right = mid;
ub = lstar;
end;
diff = ub - lb;
end;
create c var {k theta_k lstar};
append from c;
quit;
proc print data = c noobs;
where k ~=0;
format lstar 8.5;
run;
K THETA_K LSTAR 1 5.00000 50.87953 2 6.00000 51.00668 3 5.50000 51.24186 4 5.75000 51.19239 5 5.62500 51.23491 6 5.56250 51.24293 7 5.53125 51.24355 8 5.54688 51.24352 9 5.53906 51.24361 10 5.53516 51.24359 11 5.53711 51.24360
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